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Red159
999235.3
494441.1
141037.8
Blue122
224046.7
133955.2
593326.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96149050200250300350159122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#17
41.11.2
38.339.5
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End7.9
blue by 14.1
55.20.2
55.455.2
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End7.7
Second
1410
#32
37.81.2
35.136.3
Auto9.9
Teleop20.6
End7.4
blue by 8.8
2240
#19
46.70.2
46.846.7
Auto8.9
Teleop29.2
End8.1
Third
9992
#18
35.31.5
31.933.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2
red by 8.3
5933
#25
26.90.2
27.126.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End6.9