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Red182
574622.8
19565.6
808552.3
Blue159
17661.9
365429.8
174046.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138134100120160180182159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
65.60.8
64.765.4
Auto12.1
Teleop44.7
End7.9
red by 3.7
176
#6
61.90.5
60.661.1
Auto14.6
Teleop37.3
End8.4
Second
52.30.8
51.352.1
Auto11.1
Teleop33.3
End7.2
red by 5.7
1740
#12
46.60.5
45.345.8
Auto10.1
Teleop28.6
End7.7
Third
5746
#21
22.80.8
21.922.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End9.6
blue by 7.0
3654
#22
29.80.5
28.529.1
Auto10.6
Teleop12.5
End7.5