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Red106
17744.1
769424.3
23059.2
Blue158
17661.9
365429.8
174046.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12913350100150200106158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
59.20.6
59.859.2
Auto15.7
Teleop35.3
End6.6
blue by 2.7
176
#6
61.90.6
60.060.6
Auto14.6
Teleop37.3
End8.4
Second
177
#5
44.10.6
44.744.1
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
blue by 2.5
1740
#12
46.60.6
44.745.3
Auto10.1
Teleop28.6
End7.7
Third
7694
#16
24.30.6
24.924.3
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End6.6
blue by 5.5
3654
#22
29.80.6
28.028.5
Auto10.6
Teleop12.5
End7.5