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Red135
318229.9
715335.1
206749.3
Blue104
22828.7
888935.9
174046.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127116050100150200135104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.31.2
51.352.4
Auto11.9
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 2.7
1740
#12
46.60.4
44.544.1
Auto10.1
Teleop28.6
End7.7
Second
7153
#11
35.11.2
34.435.6
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End8.8
blue by 0.8
8889
#14
35.90.4
38.538.1
Auto11.2
Teleop18.2
End6.2
Third
3182
#10
29.91.2
32.033.2
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End7.2
red by 1.2
228
#19
28.70.4
26.926.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned