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Red144
57133.2
15533.1
17744.1
Blue86
17824.8
365429.8
17661.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10813505015014486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#5
44.12.6
38.541.2
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
blue by 17.7
176
#6
61.92.9
67.164.2
Auto14.6
Teleop37.3
End8.4
Second
571
#7
33.22.6
34.537.1
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End6.3
red by 3.4
3654
#22
29.82.9
29.726.8
Auto10.6
Teleop12.5
End7.5
Third
155
#9
33.12.6
31.634.2
Auto10.5
Teleop13.2
End9.6
red by 8.2
178
#20
24.82.9
27.324.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed