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Red117
314629.8
318229.9
365429.8
Blue145
206749.3
57133.2
19565.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79169050100150200250117145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3182
#10
29.91.8
31.433.2
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End7.2
blue by 35.7
195
#1
65.60.5
61.761.2
Auto12.1
Teleop44.7
End7.9
Second
3654
#22
29.81.8
24.826.5
Auto10.6
Teleop12.5
End7.5
blue by 19.5
49.30.5
50.650.1
Auto11.9
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Third
3146
#24
29.81.8
29.130.9
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End5.1
blue by 3.4
571
#7
33.20.5
35.434.9
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned