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Red106
23059.2
107120.9
99932.6
Blue86
174046.6
217034.1
574622.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12710405015020025010686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
59.20.7
59.058.3
Auto15.7
Teleop35.3
End6.6
red by 12.6
1740
#12
46.61.0
42.441.4
Auto10.1
Teleop28.6
End7.7
Second
999
#17
32.60.7
35.735.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End7.2
blue by 1.5
2170
#18
34.11.0
38.437.4
Auto7.2
Teleop19.7
End7.9
Third
1071
#13
20.90.7
21.721.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End6.8
blue by 1.8
5746
#21
22.81.0
20.019.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed