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Red90
169940.7
17824.8
816731.1
Blue122
769424.3
17661.9
715335.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9914205020090122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.6
41.340.7
Auto14.1
Teleop21.0
End5.2
blue by 21.2
176
#6
61.90.8
64.463.6
Auto14.6
Teleop37.3
End8.4
Second
8167
#15
31.10.6
33.633.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End6.1
blue by 4.1
7153
#11
35.10.8
37.236.5
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End8.8
Third
178
#20
24.80.6
23.422.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 0.5
7694
#16
24.30.8
26.826.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned