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Red100
15533.1
22828.7
318229.9
Blue114
314629.8
57133.2
808552.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94125050150200100114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#9
33.10.1
32.732.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.2
End9.6
blue by 19.2
52.30.3
50.350.0
Auto11.1
Teleop33.3
End7.2
Second
3182
#10
29.90.1
30.530.3
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End7.2
blue by 3.3
571
#7
33.20.3
33.032.7
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End6.3
Third
228
#19
28.70.1
28.628.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
blue by 1.1
3146
#24
29.80.3
30.430.0
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsMissed