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Red172
769430.3
23057.0
19565.1
Blue124
808549.6
9549.6
318231.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16413580100120180200220172124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
65.10.5
64.965.3
Auto14.7
Teleop41.4
End8.9
red by 15.5
49.60.1
49.749.6
Auto11.8
Teleop28.8
End9.0
Second
230
#1
57.00.5
56.757.2
Auto16.0
Teleop33.2
End7.6
red by 7.4
95
#5
49.60.1
49.749.6
Auto12.9
Teleop29.4
End7.3
Third
7694
#21
30.30.5
30.030.5
Auto11.0
Teleop11.5
End7.7
blue by 0.7
3182
#24
31.10.1
31.231.0
Auto11.3
Teleop12.0
End7.8