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Red165
318231.1
9549.6
808549.6
Blue117
740752.3
199121.5
99942.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13912280100160180200220165117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.8
48.949.7
Auto11.8
Teleop28.8
End9.0
blue by 2.7
7407
#13
52.30.0
52.352.3
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End8.8
Second
95
#5
49.60.8
48.949.7
Auto12.9
Teleop29.4
End7.3
red by 7.2
999
#3
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End8.3
Third
3182
#24
31.10.8
30.331.2
Auto11.3
Teleop12.0
End7.8
red by 9.5
1991
#33
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2