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Red98
457218.7
318231.1
105837.2
Blue56
206419.9
462811.8
332326.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67552040801009856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.22.1
26.929.0
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End7.3
red by 10.6
3323
#16
26.60.2
24.524.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End7.6
Second
3182
#24
31.12.1
20.222.3
Auto11.3
Teleop12.0
End7.8
red by 11.1
2064
#32
19.90.2
16.216.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End6.2
Third
4572
#19
18.72.1
14.416.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 6.9
4628
#27
11.80.2
12.712.8
Auto4.2
Teleop1.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed