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Red118
15530.4
217034.2
17828.4
Blue73
112410.3
740752.3
769430.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778720406010012014016018011873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.22.3
23.726.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End8.9
blue by 18.1
7407
#13
52.30.5
50.349.9
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End8.8
Second
155
#9
30.42.3
22.024.3
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
red by 0.1
7694
#21
30.30.5
19.118.6
Auto11.0
Teleop11.5
End7.7
Third
178
#22
28.42.3
28.130.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.5
End4.8
red by 18.1
1124
#40
10.30.5
10.810.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed