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Red31
92168.7
199121.5
905615.1
Blue122
102719.9
19565.1
23633.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3812505010015020031122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#33
21.51.4
19.117.8
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
blue by 43.6
195
#2
65.10.7
56.056.7
Auto14.7
Teleop41.4
End8.9
Second
9056
#30
15.12.3
16.113.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End7.0
blue by 18.0
236
#18
33.20.7
32.633.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End8.6
Third
9216
#38
8.71.3
11.09.6
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End3.9
blue by 11.3
1027
#29
19.90.7
17.718.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned