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Red112
19565.1
57131.6
786913.2
Blue117
23057.0
585614.5
15530.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88897080100110120112117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
65.11.4
53.254.6
Auto14.7
Teleop41.4
End8.9
red by 8.2
230
#1
57.02.1
52.754.8
Auto16.0
Teleop33.2
End7.6
Second
571
#20
31.61.4
19.220.6
Auto7.9
Teleop17.5
End6.1
red by 1.1
155
#9
30.42.1
19.821.9
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
Third
7869
#37
13.21.4
13.715.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End3.7
blue by 1.3
5856
#34
14.52.1
8.110.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned