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Red13
919317.7
672317.1
332326.6
Blue108
888933.1
346433.1
23633.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5087010015013108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3323
#16
26.62.6
24.922.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End7.6
blue by 6.6
236
#18
33.22.1
31.233.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End8.6
Second
9193
#28
17.72.6
10.17.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End5.9
blue by 15.4
8889
#14
33.12.3
23.125.4
Auto9.9
Teleop17.1
End6.1
Third
6723
#31
17.12.6
16.313.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End6.6
blue by 16.0
3464
#10
33.12.1
22.925.0
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned