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Red128
23057.0
17828.4
888933.1
Blue97
585614.5
169946.7
105837.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1349240608010012016018020012897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
57.00.5
56.857.3
Auto16.0
Teleop33.2
End7.6
red by 10.3
46.70.4
43.643.9
Auto15.5
Teleop24.0
End7.3
Second
8889
#14
33.10.5
33.834.3
Auto9.9
Teleop17.1
End6.1
blue by 4.1
37.20.4
35.435.8
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End7.3
Third
178
#22
28.40.5
30.531.0
Auto10.0
Teleop13.5
End4.8
red by 14.0
5856
#34
14.50.4
12.713.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned