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Red58
363414.3
346433.1
199121.5
Blue71
457218.7
816729.8
206419.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697640601001205871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#10
33.10.5
31.631.1
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End8.0
red by 3.2
8167
#17
29.80.1
32.032.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Second
1991
#33
21.50.5
18.718.2
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
red by 1.6
2064
#32
19.90.1
19.319.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End6.2
Third
3634
#39
14.30.5
15.214.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End4.6
blue by 4.4
4572
#19
18.70.1
18.919.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed