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Red135
99942.4
199121.5
740752.3
Blue105
105837.2
217034.2
55827.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510250150200135105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#13
52.30.5
51.652.1
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End8.8
red by 15.1
37.20.0
37.237.2
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End7.3
Second
999
#3
42.40.5
41.742.2
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End8.3
red by 8.2
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End8.9
Third
1991
#33
21.50.5
20.821.3
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
blue by 5.7
558
#25
27.30.0
27.227.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.6
End4.7