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Red152
769430.3
23057.0
19565.1
Blue152
808549.6
9549.6
318231.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165130100150200152152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
65.10.1
64.964.9
Auto14.7
Teleop41.4
End8.9
red by 15.5
49.60.6
48.448.9
Auto11.8
Teleop28.8
End9.0
Second
230
#1
57.00.1
56.856.7
Auto16.0
Teleop33.2
End7.6
red by 7.4
95
#5
49.60.6
48.348.9
Auto12.9
Teleop29.4
End7.3
Third
7694
#21
30.30.1
30.130.0
Auto11.0
Teleop11.5
End7.7
blue by 0.7
3182
#24
31.10.6
29.830.3
Auto11.3
Teleop12.0
End7.8