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Red87
634627.9
816729.8
314633.8
Blue111
105837.2
217034.2
55827.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98105608012014016087111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#23
33.80.3
34.133.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End7.6
blue by 3.4
37.20.3
36.937.2
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End7.3
Second
8167
#17
29.80.3
30.229.8
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End6.3
blue by 4.4
34.20.3
33.934.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End8.9
Third
6346
#15
27.90.3
28.327.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End6.1
red by 0.7
558
#25
27.30.3
26.927.2
Auto8.9
Teleop13.6
End4.7