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Red109
574624.3
23633.2
107126.1
Blue77
15530.4
17828.4
346433.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810140608012014016010977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#18
33.20.0
33.333.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End8.6
red by 0.1
3464
#10
33.10.4
33.433.1
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End8.0
Second
1071
#11
26.10.0
26.226.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.1
End7.2
blue by 4.3
155
#9
30.40.4
30.830.4
Auto11.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
Third
5746
#12
24.30.0
24.424.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End9.9
blue by 4.2
178
#22
28.40.4
28.828.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.5
End4.8