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Red80
256017.7
171027.7
176321.8
Blue54
9378.7
235734.4
176415.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81610501001508054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#23
27.70.4
34.835.2
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End6.2
blue by 6.7
2357
#12
34.40.7
33.032.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End9.4
Second
1763
#17
21.80.4
22.322.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End6.0
red by 6.3
1764
#29
15.50.7
15.815.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End5.2
Third
2560
#24
17.70.4
16.516.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End4.4
red by 9.0
937
#40
8.70.7
11.410.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed