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Red67
180234.4
591816.2
177517.3
Blue127
181028.0
176927.7
198652.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7612405010015020067127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1802
#14
34.40.7
37.136.4
Auto8.0
Teleop18.7
End7.9
blue by 18.0
52.50.8
51.352.1
Auto13.8
Teleop29.4
End8.5
Second
1775
#27
17.30.7
21.420.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.1
blue by 10.6
1810
#26
28.00.8
31.231.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End7.7
Third
5918
#36
16.20.7
18.617.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.4
blue by 11.5
1769
#16
27.70.8
28.228.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned