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Red78
198753.4
511922.8
110828.8
Blue138
176927.7
642463.9
328438.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127131809010011012014015078138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.42.8
58.055.2
Auto15.6
Teleop30.2
End6.6
blue by 10.6
63.90.8
62.763.5
Auto15.5
Teleop37.4
End9.8
Second
1108
#18
28.82.8
32.730.0
Auto5.6
Teleop18.4
End4.9
blue by 9.9
38.70.8
31.031.7
Auto6.9
Teleop24.2
End7.9
Third
5119
#35
22.82.8
28.625.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End5.7
blue by 4.9
1769
#16
27.70.8
27.928.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned