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Red94
180624.2
181028.0
198231.2
Blue91
882531.7
256017.7
182529.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100840501502009491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.7
32.932.2
Auto11.0
Teleop14.0
End6.2
blue by 0.5
31.70.8
29.929.1
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End7.4
Second
1810
#26
28.00.7
31.831.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End7.7
blue by 1.4
29.40.8
34.533.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
1806
#21
24.20.7
27.326.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.4
End7.0
red by 6.5
2560
#24
17.70.8
16.415.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned