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Red127
198652.5
173047.1
641924.4
Blue70
445522.7
176415.5
245730.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14359010020012770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.1
52.052.1
Auto13.8
Teleop29.4
End8.5
red by 22.0
2457
#25
30.50.2
29.830.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.9
End7.5
Second
1730
#10
47.10.1
50.850.9
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End8.7
red by 24.4
4455
#15
22.70.2
21.121.3
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End6.4
Third
6419
#11
24.40.1
22.522.6
Auto10.0
Teleop7.9
End6.5
red by 8.9
1764
#29
15.50.2
16.116.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned