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Red132
580136.2
512625.4
180234.4
Blue46
176321.8
193928.8
596811.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107205010015020013246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#22
36.20.3
40.040.3
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End7.3
red by 7.4
1939
#39
28.81.8
35.233.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
Second
1802
#14
34.40.3
34.735.0
Auto8.0
Teleop18.7
End7.9
red by 12.6
1763
#17
21.81.8
22.720.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End6.0
Third
5126
#28
25.40.3
24.124.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 14.4
5968
#38
11.01.8
14.512.8
Auto6.6
Teleop-0.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed