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Red71
245730.5
181028.0
512625.4
Blue101
198753.4
495923.8
580920.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88108020030040050071101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#25
30.51.0
30.029.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.9
End7.5
blue by 22.9
53.40.2
55.255.0
Auto15.6
Teleop30.2
End6.6
Second
1810
#26
28.01.0
31.230.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End7.7
red by 4.1
4959
#20
23.80.2
21.421.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Third
5126
#28
25.41.0
24.323.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 5.1
5809
#37
20.30.2
22.822.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed62%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsMissed