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Red109
328438.7
256017.7
241026.9
Blue82
180234.4
509825.8
176321.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7485020406010012014016010982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.72.6
31.734.3
Auto6.9
Teleop24.2
End7.9
red by 4.3
1802
#14
34.40.2
35.035.2
Auto8.0
Teleop18.7
End7.9
Second
2410
#32
26.92.6
23.426.0
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End5.9
red by 1.1
25.80.2
22.722.9
Auto10.2
Teleop10.8
End4.8
Third
2560
#24
17.72.6
15.618.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End4.4
blue by 4.1
1763
#17
21.80.2
20.921.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed