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Red104
596811.0
642463.9
9378.7
Blue117
177517.3
545437.0
198652.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88118050100150200104117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.9
63.564.4
Auto15.5
Teleop37.4
End9.8
red by 11.5
52.50.6
52.152.7
Auto13.8
Teleop29.4
End8.5
Second
5968
#38
11.00.9
12.813.6
Auto6.6
Teleop-0.1
End4.6
blue by 26.0
37.00.6
36.837.4
Auto9.6
Teleop18.7
End8.8
Third
937
#40
8.70.9
9.510.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.5
blue by 8.7
1775
#27
17.30.6
18.919.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned