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Red123
512625.4
176415.5
642463.9
Blue49
182529.4
198231.2
9378.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147405010015020012349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.91.4
64.465.7
Auto15.5
Teleop37.4
End9.8
red by 32.8
31.21.7
32.731.0
Auto11.0
Teleop14.0
End6.2
Second
5126
#28
25.41.4
23.424.7
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 4.0
29.41.7
31.429.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
1764
#29
15.51.4
14.816.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End5.2
red by 6.8
937
#40
8.71.7
10.48.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed