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Red83
931619.6
545437.0
176927.7
Blue97
641924.4
176321.8
235734.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92770501502008397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.1
37.437.2
Auto9.6
Teleop18.7
End8.8
red by 2.6
2357
#12
34.41.5
31.833.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End9.4
Second
1769
#16
27.70.1
27.827.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.6
End5.6
red by 3.3
6419
#11
24.41.5
21.823.3
Auto10.0
Teleop7.9
End6.5
Third
9316
#33
19.60.1
19.819.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.1
End6.9
blue by 2.1
1763
#17
21.81.5
21.222.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned