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Red74
110828.8
173047.1
256017.7
Blue58
580920.3
177517.3
580136.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105830501502007458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#10DQ
47.11.5
48.647.1
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End8.7
red by 10.8
5801
#22
36.22.3
38.836.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End7.3
Second
1108
#18
28.81.5
29.227.7
Auto5.6
Teleop18.4
End4.9
red by 8.5
5809
#37
20.32.3
22.620.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End6.5
Third
2560
#24
17.71.5
18.216.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End4.4
red by 0.4
1775
#27
17.32.3
19.517.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed