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Red135
509825.8
198652.5
392833.5
Blue42
181028.0
511922.8
234513.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207005010015020013542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.51.5
52.754.2
Auto13.8
Teleop29.4
End8.5
red by 24.5
1810
#26
28.02.0
30.228.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End7.7
Second
3928
#13
33.51.5
31.833.3
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End6.9
red by 10.7
5119
#35
22.82.0
25.823.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End5.7
Third
25.81.5
22.924.4
Auto10.2
Teleop10.8
End4.8
red by 12.3
2345
#19
13.52.0
15.513.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed