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Red143
171027.7
328438.7
173047.1
Blue116
641924.4
110828.8
235734.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12487050100150200250143116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#10
47.10.2
46.947.2
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End8.7
red by 12.7
2357
#12
34.40.3
34.134.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End9.4
Second
38.70.2
37.537.7
Auto6.9
Teleop24.2
End7.9
red by 9.9
1108
#18
28.80.3
28.528.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Third
1710
#23
27.70.2
27.527.7
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End6.2
red by 3.3
6419
#11
24.40.3
24.124.4
Auto10.0
Teleop7.9
End6.5