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Red101
392833.5
580136.2
198231.2
Blue150
173047.1
328438.7
171027.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105125050150200250101150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#22
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End7.3
blue by 10.8
1730
#10
47.10.7
47.848.5
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End8.7
Second
3928
#13
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End6.9
blue by 5.2
38.70.7
38.439.1
Auto6.9
Teleop24.2
End7.9
Third
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto11.0
Teleop14.0
End6.2
red by 3.5
1710
#23
27.70.7
28.429.1
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End6.2