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Red149
193928.8
198652.5
642463.9
Blue85
641924.4
235734.4
176927.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1687805010015020025014985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.0
65.765.8
Auto15.5
Teleop37.4
End9.8
red by 29.5
2357
#12
34.40.0
33.333.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End9.4
Second
52.50.0
54.254.3
Auto13.8
Teleop29.4
End8.5
red by 24.7
1769
#16
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.6
End5.6
Third
1939
#39
28.80.0
30.630.7
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End6.2
red by 4.5
6419
#11
24.40.0
23.323.3
Auto10.0
Teleop7.9
End6.5