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Red80
181028.0
545437.0
182529.4
Blue136
198753.4
180234.4
501338.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9613805020025080136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.3
37.236.9
Auto9.6
Teleop18.7
End8.8
blue by 16.4
53.40.3
51.952.1
Auto15.6
Teleop30.2
End6.6
Second
29.40.3
29.729.3
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End4.7
blue by 8.8
5013
#30
38.20.3
37.337.6
Auto6.6
Teleop22.2
End9.5
Third
1810
#26
28.00.3
28.227.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End7.7
blue by 6.5
1802
#14
34.40.3
34.735.0
Auto8.0
Teleop18.7
End7.9