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Red132
107121.5
23045.3
808543.3
Blue94
786913.7
17652.8
17746.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151235010015020013294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
45.30.5
44.845.3
Auto13.2
Teleop25.4
End6.7
blue by 7.5
176
#1
52.80.6
53.452.8
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End9.4
Second
43.30.5
42.843.3
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End8.7
blue by 3.0
177
#2
46.30.6
46.846.3
Auto8.5
Teleop28.9
End8.9
Third
1071
#16
21.50.5
21.021.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End8.6
red by 7.9
7869
#37
13.70.6
14.213.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End5.7