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Red69
22811.1
365427.3
217021.4
Blue74
99928.9
71634.2
83917.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666002040801001206974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#12
27.30.3
21.021.3
Auto10.3
Teleop10.9
End6.2
blue by 6.9
716
#4
34.21.9
23.325.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End7.6
Second
2170
#29
21.40.3
17.017.3
Auto1.7
Teleop13.0
End6.7
blue by 7.5
999
#11
28.91.9
15.517.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.4
End7.6
Third
228
#38
11.10.3
23.523.7
Auto1.2
Teleop3.8
End6.1
blue by 6.3
839
#10
17.41.9
18.420.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned