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Red33
112410.2
1819.7
816721.6
Blue32
346125.6
769415.7
55816.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456602060801001201403332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8167
#15
21.61.4
16.815.5
Auto9.5
Teleop6.3
End5.8
blue by 4.1
3461
#14
25.63.1
25.021.9
Auto8.5
Teleop9.8
End7.3
Second
1124
#28
10.21.4
13.912.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End4.7
blue by 6.6
558
#33
16.83.1
18.415.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Third
181
#34
9.71.4
14.413.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End4.5
blue by 6.0
7694
#20
15.73.1
16.313.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed