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Red38
22811.1
457212.4
99928.9
Blue83
206741.3
346422.9
71634.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677502040601001201403883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#11
28.92.8
18.315.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.4
End7.6
blue by 12.4
41.31.6
26.027.6
Auto12.9
Teleop20.8
End7.6
Second
4572
#32
12.42.8
18.816.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End5.9
blue by 21.8
716
#4
34.21.6
21.823.3
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End7.6
Third
228
#38
11.12.8
26.323.5
Auto1.2
Teleop3.8
End6.1
blue by 11.8
3464
#18
22.91.6
21.122.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned