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Red62
769415.7
346422.9
23631.2
Blue89
365427.3
888923.1
23731.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7074204060801001206289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#22
31.20.9
29.628.7
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End8.8
blue by 0.4
237
#7
31.61.0
28.729.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End5.5
Second
3464
#18
22.90.9
22.821.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End5.3
blue by 4.4
3654
#12
27.31.0
25.626.5
Auto10.3
Teleop10.9
End6.2
Third
7694
#20
15.70.9
13.612.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End6.3
blue by 7.4
23.11.0
14.815.8
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsMissed