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Red46
363415.9
816721.6
462810.8
Blue114
574621.3
17652.8
23045.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3311805010015046114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8167
#15
21.60.4
19.920.3
Auto9.5
Teleop6.3
End5.8
blue by 31.2
176
#1
52.81.3
46.547.8
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End9.4
Second
3634
#26
15.90.4
17.017.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
blue by 29.4
230
#5
45.31.3
38.339.6
Auto13.2
Teleop25.4
End6.7
Third
4628
#27
10.80.4
5.05.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End4.2
blue by 10.5
21.31.3
15.316.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
13%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned