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Red207
81856.5
14866.4
632977.4
Blue204
175668.5
594075.0
64951.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198193150250207204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.40.3
76.777.0
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
red by 2.4
75.00.3
74.875.1
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
Second
148
#7
66.40.3
65.766.0
Auto12.6
Teleop42.5
End9.4
blue by 2.1
68.50.3
68.368.6
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Third
818
#21
56.50.3
55.756.1
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
red by 4.9
649
#17
51.60.3
51.351.7
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0