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Red170
568757.9
572760.0
476649.3
Blue205
175668.5
594075.0
64951.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173195100150250170205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#11
60.00.0
60.060.0
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
blue by 15.0
75.00.5
74.274.8
Auto19.7
Teleop44.0
End8.9
Second
5687
#20
57.90.0
57.957.9
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
blue by 10.6
68.50.5
67.768.3
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Third
4766
#45
49.30.0
49.349.3
Auto11.1
Teleop29.1
End9.6
blue by 2.2
649
#17
51.60.5
50.851.3
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0