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Red143
18057.7
873930.1
33346.5
Blue136
384755.4
590754.0
699545.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13615950100150200143136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#28
57.70.8
56.357.1
Auto16.7
Teleop32.7
End8.1
red by 2.3
55.41.0
54.253.2
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0
Second
333
#37
46.50.8
46.247.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.9
blue by 7.5
5907
#62
54.01.0
52.051.0
Auto15.3
Teleop29.9
End7.7
Third
8739
#33
30.10.8
28.329.1
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End6.4
blue by 15.8
6995
#24
45.81.0
46.845.8
Auto11.8
Teleop26.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed