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Red112
84028.8
908520.6
399054.4
Blue137
641336.3
34351.4
30260.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10216650150200250300112137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#12
54.40.2
52.953.1
Auto15.2
Teleop30.3
End8.2
blue by 6.2
302
#14
60.61.0
61.560.5
Auto13.1
Teleop34.4
End10.9
Second
840
#76
28.80.2
28.628.8
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End5.2
blue by 22.7
343
#25
51.41.0
52.451.4
Auto12.4
Teleop29.9
End8.8
Third
9085
#73
20.60.2
22.422.6
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End4.5
blue by 15.7
6413
#66
36.31.0
36.435.4
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed91%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned