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Red121
64951.6
186859.3
753423.5
Blue127
658621.8
110052.6
348928.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14995050200250121127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#60
59.31.5
58.356.8
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End9.5
red by 6.7
1100
#34
52.61.8
48.249.9
Auto14.0
Teleop28.4
End9.4
Second
649
#17
51.61.5
51.149.6
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0
red by 22.8
3489
#65
28.81.8
27.929.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End6.7
Third
7534
#70
23.51.5
23.722.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End6.7
red by 1.8
6586
#52
21.81.8
19.521.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned